Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 13.570296 15.530841 17.621353 20.010382 22.658813 25.498673 28.767774
2025-10-19 10.802301 13.445086 16.452976 20.106890 24.401295 29.263448 35.158597
2025-10-26 8.797405 11.701485 15.179318 19.605337 25.038438 31.438404 39.491089
2025-11-02 7.403306 10.433478 14.224775 19.243036 25.629298 33.398972 43.470505
2025-11-09 6.307498 9.375478 13.370363 18.847520 26.043010 35.046570 47.019860
2025-11-16 5.443251 8.505961 12.644756 18.505090 26.428248 36.593765 50.420705
2025-11-23 4.658421 7.647062 11.834550 17.950332 26.447124 37.607643 53.109266
2025-11-30 4.197138 7.197863 11.538267 18.050134 27.311079 39.720299 57.262894
2025-12-07 3.789841 6.781063 11.242229 18.108477 28.090254 41.716102 61.295093
2025-12-14 3.468114 6.460000 11.052417 18.290472 29.027522 43.934804 65.673586
2025-12-21 3.148050 6.105437 10.776891 18.313737 29.716645 45.810206 69.614404
2025-12-28 2.962040 5.953313 10.798523 18.775972 31.051941 48.622069 74.925289
2026-01-04 2.751880 5.742139 10.714296 19.074146 32.163994 51.167841 79.966288
2026-01-11 2.522516 5.472244 10.511112 19.166052 32.957990 53.269555 84.426486
2026-01-18 2.216971 5.027386 9.976892 18.683856 32.831317 53.996890 86.898755
2026-01-25 1.968745 4.661535 9.545573 18.335604 32.883435 54.972032 89.738012
2026-02-01 1.743599 4.313629 9.115234 17.955479 32.854760 55.807042 92.372488
2026-02-08 1.550444 4.006810 8.732030 17.626421 32.882524 56.713420 95.119817
2026-02-15 1.352666 3.664370 8.252431 17.093419 32.539873 57.020024 96.947951
2026-02-22 1.250093 3.517622 8.131750 17.189299 33.244495 58.978273 101.342553
2026-03-01 1.152272 3.369414 7.995451 17.245350 33.877244 60.832628 105.612930
2026-03-08 1.075185 3.260140 7.927200 17.420206 34.715373 63.032271 110.466413
2026-03-15 0.989755 3.119672 7.783660 17.442559 35.283400 64.803874 114.680440